When the New York Giants signed Russell Wilson, fans hoped a Super Bowl–winning veteran could finally stabilize the quarterback position. On paper, the move looks promising: leadership, playoff pedigree, and a knack for big plays. But dig a little deeper, and there’s a strong case that Wilson could struggle in blue.
Decline Is Already in Motion
Over the past three seasons, Wilson’s game has shown visible cracks. His signature escapability is diminished, his deep-ball accuracy has slipped, and decision-making under pressure has grown inconsistent. According to The Athletic’s QB Tiers, Wilson now sits in Tier 4 — ranked 26th in the NFL — with some league insiders bluntly stating, “The magic is gone.”
Even NFL defensive coaches have warned that he’s “just declining,” pointing out that he no longer has the same ability to “rip throws” downfield. Age has caught up, and at 36, Wilson can’t rely on athleticism the way he once did.
The Giants’ Offensive Reality
The Giants’ offensive line is still shaky, the receiving corps is average at best, and the NFC East features some of the league’s most ferocious pass rushes. Last year, Wilson struggled in Denver behind inconsistent protection — New York’s line may prove an even bigger challenge.
If the pass protection breaks down, Wilson’s limitations could be exposed quickly, especially in matchups against the Eagles, Cowboys, and Commanders.
The Analyst and Media Factor
The New York media has no mercy. If Wilson starts slow, the back pages and talk radio will pounce. Bleacher Report has already labeled him a potential bust of the season, and with rookie Jaxson Dart impressing in camp, the pressure will be on from Week 1.
What the Numbers Say
Wilson’s 2024 stats offer some hope:
- Zone Defense Efficiency: Ranked 12th in the NFL in EPA per play against zone coverage.
- Deep Ball Threat: Among league leaders in deep-ball efficiency by EPA.
- Blitz Performance: Maintained positive EPA when blitzed.
- 2024 Output: Threw for 2,482 yards and 16 TDs in limited games with Pittsburgh.
In recent Giants practices, Wilson has gone 3-for-3 in red zone drills and has shown leadership, poise, and chemistry with his receivers.
Final Take
The Giants’ gamble on Russell Wilson could pay off — or crash hard. The veteran QB still has flashes of his old brilliance, especially as a deep passer and in situational football. But declining mobility, an unsteady offensive line, and the unforgiving NFC East create a perfect storm for potential disappointment.
Fans should be hopeful, but they should also be prepared: Russell Wilson’s Giants chapter could just as easily be a dud as it could be a comeback story.
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